Because CDC estimates of vaccine effectiveness against death for the primary series have varied over time, we apply a specific vaccine effectiveness estimate by time period, ranging from 91% for June through December 2021 to 79% in January through March 2022. As described in more detail in the Methods, we use CDC studies of vaccine effectiveness for the primary vaccine series against death to estimate the number of deaths among unvaccinated adults that most likely would not have been prevented by vaccination. We estimate a total of 270,000 adult COVID-19 deaths occurred among unvaccinated people from June 2021 through March 2022.Įven if all of the unvaccinated adults who died of COVID-19 had chosen to get vaccinated, some of those deaths would not have been prevented with vaccination, as vaccines are not 100% effective. Using CDC data on deaths by vaccination status for 25 jurisdictions, we calculated the share of COVID-19 deaths among those who were unvaccinated (ranging from 86% in June 2021, down to 58% in January 2022) and applied this to all adult COVID-19 deaths. To estimate the number of deaths that could have been prevented by vaccination, we remove COVID-19 deaths among vaccinated adults from the total number of adult COVID-19 deaths in each month. This yields a total of about 389,000 adult COVID-19 deaths since June 2021. We exclude children from this analysis because vaccines have not been accessible for all children and adult permission may be required, though children represent less than 1% of COVID-19 deaths. To estimate the number of COVID-19 deaths that could have been prevented by vaccination, we first looked at COVID-19 deaths among adults in the months after vaccines were widely available (June 2021 through March 2022). About 234,000 COVID-19 deaths since June 2021 could have been prevented with vaccinations These vaccine-preventable deaths represent 60% of all adult COVID-19 deaths since June 2021, and a quarter (24%) of the nearly 1 million COVID-19 deaths since the pandemic began. We find that approximately 234,000 deaths since June 2021 could have been prevented with primary series vaccination. In this analysis, we estimate the number of adult deaths that could have been prevented by timely vaccination. could have been fully vaccinated and protected from most cases of severe illness or death due to COVID-19. Therefore, by June 2021, adults in the U.S. had access to these vaccines months earlier. COVID-19 vaccines that are free, safe, and highly effective have been widely available to all adults in the U.S. For our analysis of COVID-19 as a leading cause of death, click here.Īs of mid-April 2022, nearly 1 million people in the U.S. Now is the time.Note : This brief was originally published on Octoand was updated most recently in April 2022. I urge all Americans: do your patriotic duty to keep our country safe, to protect yourself and those around you, and to honor the memory of all those we have lost. And if you haven’t already - please get yourself and your school-age children vaccinated. If you were fully vaccinated before mid-June, please go get your booster shot as soon as possible. The vaccines are safe, effective, free, easy, and our best tool to prevent more loss and pain. This means getting vaccinated and getting your booster shot, and taking other prevention measures, such as masking. As we head into the winter and confront a new variant, we must resolve to keep fighting this virus together. Today, more than 200 million Americans are fully vaccinated, and each day, more people are getting boosted than ever before. As a result, we have saved over one million American lives, and spared families in every community across the country the incalculable loss that too many others have suffered. We stood up a historic vaccination program, and 240 million Americans have stepped up and gotten at least one shot. That’s exactly what we have done over the past 11 months. I know what it’s like to stare at an empty chair around the kitchen table, especially during the holiday season, and my heart aches for every family enduring this pain. Get Involved Show submenu for “Get Involved””Īs we mark the tragic milestone of 800,000 American deaths due to COVID-19, we remember each person and the lives they lived, and we pray for the loved ones left behind.The White House Show submenu for “The White House””.
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